Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 6.633986e-06 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000013
2025-01-05 5.348343e-06 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013 0.000015
2025-01-12 4.523822e-06 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014 0.000018
2025-01-19 3.882018e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021
2025-01-26 3.441842e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000017 0.000025
2025-02-02 3.180546e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000031
2025-02-09 2.873877e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021 0.000036
2025-02-16 2.643005e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000042
2025-02-23 2.428505e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000026 0.000049
2025-03-02 2.212403e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000028 0.000055
2025-03-09 2.030404e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000016 0.000029 0.000063
2025-03-16 1.896857e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000016 0.000032 0.000072
2025-03-23 1.771524e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000035 0.000084
2025-03-30 1.611544e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000017 0.000036 0.000093
2025-04-06 1.493328e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000039 0.000105
2025-04-13 1.383135e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000041 0.000118
2025-04-20 1.304313e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000045 0.000137
2025-04-27 1.264693e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000020 0.000051 0.000169
2025-05-04 1.196483e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000020 0.000055 0.000195
2025-05-11 1.143601e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000060 0.000231
2025-05-18 1.087860e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000065 0.000267
2025-05-25 1.023664e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000069 0.000299
2025-06-01 9.665509e-07 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000023 0.000072 0.000336